PERTANIKA JOURNAL OF SOCIAL SCIENCES AND HUMANITIES

This study investigates the correlations between electoral outcomes and voting behavior in Johor during the 15th State Election, leading up to Malaysia’s 15th General Election (GE15). The analysis focuses on the relationship between age, ethnic majority constituencies, and the rural-urban continuum, using voting stream results to identify key patterns. The findings reveal that senior voters in Malay-majority constituencies, across all geographical areas, largely continued to support Barisan Nasional (BN) despite a gradual decline in their overall backing. In contrast, Perikatan Nasional (PN) emerged as an appealing alternative for youth voters, particularly in rural and semi-urban Malay-majority constituencies. Meanwhile, Pakatan Harapan (PH) retained dominance in mixed and Chinese-majority semi-urban and urban constituencies, although its support among senior voters declined compared to the 14th General Election (GE14). Overall, the election results, spanning from the state elections to GE15, demonstrate a strong relationship between partisanship and voter turnout. This finding highlights the intricate relationship between voter allegiance and turnout, shaped by demographic, geographical, and contemporary issues.

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